20% Chance of Rain

Download 20% Chance of Rain full ebooks in PDF, ePub and Kindle version. Read online free 20% Chance of Rain release on: 2011-10-11, by Richard B. Jones in category: Technology & Engineering book.


20% Chance of Rain Book

There are plenty of books on specialized risk topics but few thatdeal with the broad diversity and daily applicability of thissubject. Risk applications require a robust knowledge...

Overview

20% Chance of Rain - Richard B. Jones
pdf | 217 KB | English | Isbn: 1118116364 | Author: Richard B. Jones | Release Date: 2011-10-11
Description
There are plenty of books on specialized risk topics but few thatdeal with the broad diversity and daily applicability of thissubject. Risk applications require a robust knowledge of manyattributes of this seemingly simple subject. This book teaches thereader through examples and case studies the fundamental (andsubtle) aspects of risk - regardless of the specific situation. Thetext allows the reader to understand the concept of risk analysiswhile not getting too involved in the mathematics; in this methodthe reader can apply these techniques across a wide range ofsituations. The second edition includes new examples from NASA and severalother industries as well as new case studies from legal databases.The many real-life discussion topics enable the reader to form anunderstanding of the concepts of risk and risk management and applythem to day-to-day issues.
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#1 20% Chance of Rain

20% Chance of Rain Book Richard B. Jones
  • Author : Richard B. Jones
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release Date : 2011-10-11
  • Total Pages : 360
  • Genre : Technology & Engineering
  • Review : (255)

Download #1 20% Chance of Rain eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

There are plenty of books on specialized risk topics but few thatdeal with the broad diversity and daily applicability of thissubject. Risk applications require a robust knowledge of manyattributes of this seemingly simple subject. This book teaches thereader through examples and case studies the fundamental (andsubtle) aspects of risk - regardless of the specific situation. Thetext allows the reader to understand the concept of risk analysiswhile not getting too involved in the mathematics; in this methodthe reader can apply these techniques across a wide range ofsituations. The second edition includes new examples from NASA and severalother industries as well as new case studies from legal databases.The many real-life discussion topics enable the reader to form anunderstanding of the concepts of risk and risk management and applythem to day-to-day issues.

#2 A Chance of Rain

A Chance of Rain Book Mark Bellino
  • Author : Mark Bellino
  • Publisher : Author House
  • Release Date : 2010-02-03
  • Total Pages : 298
  • Genre : Fiction
  • Review : (288)

Download #2 A Chance of Rain eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

With all the money you could ever need, a great personality and an attractive physic, would you be able to find the perfect partner? Would you be in total control of the situation? Would you ultimately be happy? A Chance of Rain tells a story of a handsome man that has it all, except love. A life changing event forces him to review his priorities in life. To fulfill his transformed objectives, he sets off on an exciting, elaborate adventure to find himself a perfect soul mate, but the journey presents some unexpected twists. After losing control of the situation, he is faced with the most difficult choice he has ever made in his life. Does he walk away from the business empire he has created, or does he turn his back on the greatest love he has ever experienced? "Mark Bellino has captured romance on a whole new level. This is a fresh and seamless story which left me hopeful that this author will continue writing. His storyline and momentum keeps one glued to the pages and wondering just what comes next. Mark Bellino is on the cusp of our literary world's up and coming superstars and I am privileged to have been along for the ride...” - First Editing

#3 Superforecasting

Superforecasting Book Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
  • Author : Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
  • Publisher : Crown
  • Release Date : 2015-09-29
  • Total Pages : 352
  • Genre : Business & Economics
  • Review : (23)

Download #3 Superforecasting eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

#4 Developing Students’ Statistical Reasoning

Developing Students’ Statistical Reasoning Book Joan Garfield,Dani Ben-Zvi
  • Author : Joan Garfield,Dani Ben-Zvi
  • Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
  • Release Date : 2008-09-08
  • Total Pages : 408
  • Genre : Education
  • Review : (1)

Download #4 Developing Students’ Statistical Reasoning eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

Increased attention is being paid to the need for statistically educated citizens: statistics is now included in the K-12 mathematics curriculum, increasing numbers of students are taking courses in high school, and introductory statistics courses are required in college. However, increasing the amount of instruction is not sufficient to prepare statistically literate citizens. A major change is needed in how statistics is taught. To bring about this change, three dimensions of teacher knowledge need to be addressed: their knowledge of statistical content, their pedagogical knowledge, and their statistical-pedagogical knowledge, i.e., their specific knowledge about how to teach statistics. This book is written for mathematics and statistics educators and researchers. It summarizes the research and highlights the important concepts for teachers to emphasize, and shows the interrelationships among concepts. It makes specific suggestions regarding how to build classroom activities, integrate technological tools, and assess students’ learning. This is a unique book. While providing a wealth of examples through lessons and data sets, it is also the best attempt by members of our profession to integrate suggestions from research findings with statistics concepts and pedagogy. The book’s message about the importance of listening to research is loud and clear, as is its message about alternative ways of teaching statistics. This book will impact instructors, giving them pause to consider: "Is what I’m doing now really the best thing for my students? What could I do better?" J. Michael Shaughnessy, Professor, Dept of Mathematical Sciences, Portland State University, USA This is a much-needed text for linking research and practice in teaching statistics. The authors have provided a comprehensive overview of the current state-of-the-art in statistics education research. The insights they have gleaned from the literature should be tremendously helpful for those involved in teaching and researching introductory courses. Randall E. Groth, Assistant Professor of Mathematics Education, Salisbury University, USA

#5 Statistics Behind the Headlines

Statistics Behind the Headlines Book A. John Bailer,Rosemary Pennington
  • Author : A. John Bailer,Rosemary Pennington
  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release Date : 2022-09-28
  • Total Pages : 113
  • Genre : Mathematics
  • Review : (334)

Download #5 Statistics Behind the Headlines eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

How do you learn about what’s going on in the world? Did a news headline grab your attention? Did a news story report on recent research? What do you need to know to be a critical consumer of the news you read? If you are looking to start developing your data self-defense and critical news consumption skills, this book is for you! It reflects a long-term collaboration between a statistician and a journalist to shed light on the statistics behind the stories and the stories behind the statistics. The only prerequisite for enjoying this book is an interest in developing the skills and insights for better understanding news stories that incorporate quantitative information. Chapters in Statistics Behind the Headlines kick off with a news story headline and a summary of the story itself. The meat of each chapter consists of an exploration of the statistical and journalism concepts needed to understand the data analyzed and reported in the story. The chapters are organized around these sections: • What ideas will you encounter in this chapter? • What is claimed? Is it appropriate? • Who is claiming this? • Why is it claimed? What makes this a story worth telling? • Is this a good measure of impact? • How is the claim supported? • What evidence is reported? • What is the quality/strength of the evidence? • Does the claim seem reasonable? • How does this claim fit with what is already known? • How much does this matter? • Considering the coverage Chapters close with connections to the Stats + Stories podcast.

#6 Leveled Texts: Probability of Events

Leveled Texts: Probability of Events Book Stephanie Paris
  • Author : Stephanie Paris
  • Publisher : Teacher Created Materials
  • Release Date : 2014-01-01
  • Total Pages : 9
  • Genre : Mathematics
  • Review : (249)

Download #6 Leveled Texts: Probability of Events eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

All students can learn about probability through text written at four different reading levels. Symbols on the pages represent reading-level ranges to help differentiate instruction. Provided comprehension questions complement the text.

#7 Kiss a Girl in the Rain

Kiss a Girl in the Rain Book Nancy Warren
  • Author : Nancy Warren
  • Publisher : Ambleside Publishing
  • Release Date : 2014-03-03
  • Total Pages : 170
  • Genre : Fiction
  • Review : (1)

Download #7 Kiss a Girl in the Rain eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

World's Ugliest Matchmaker In this sexy, humorous contemporary romance, a lost dog brings together a wealthy drifter and a small town doctor and changes all their lives forever. Evan Chance is a man out to complete the bucket list he made as a kid, starting with ride a motorcycle across America. Caitlyn Sorenson is the sexy country doctor standing in his way. Or is she the dream he’s been searching for? Evan's Amazing Life List 1. Ride a motorcycle across America 2. Kiss a girl in the rain 3. Swim in every ocean… When Evan Chance gives up a successful corporate law career to tackle the bucket list he wrote when he was twelve, he has no idea where the road will lead him. Caitlyn Sorenson is a happily settled small town doctor. When a sexy drifter rolls into town after a motorcycle accident leaves him stranded in Miller's Pond for a few days with the homeliest dog ever, she can smell trouble even as she's drawn to a man who is only passing through town. But some scorching hot nights and a blooming tenderness mean two people will have to face up to the challenges of love. From USA Today Bestselling Author Nancy Warren comes the first in an exciting new series of sexy, humorous romances about a family named Chance. Enjoy this best-selling romance for a limited time FREE. Other Books in the Take a Chance Series: Iris in Bloom (Take a Chance, Book 2) Iris and Geoff Blueprint for a Kiss (Take a Chance, Book 3) Prescott and Holly Chance Encounter (Prequel) Jack and Daphne

#8 Weather For Dummies

Weather For Dummies Book John D. Cox
  • Author : John D. Cox
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release Date : 2021-07-28
  • Total Pages : 400
  • Genre : Nature
  • Review : (117)

Download #8 Weather For Dummies eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

What in the world is going on up there? Look up! It’s a bird; it’s a plane; it’s a Polar mesospheric cloud! When you look to the sky, do you wonder why the Sun is so bright or why the clouds are white or why the sky is blue? Then, Weather For Dummies is your resource to fuel your curiosity about the weather. It takes you on an exciting journey through the Earth's atmosphere and the ways it behaves. You’ll get an overview of rain, Sun, clouds, storms and other phenomena. With helpful photographs and illustrations, you can easily visualize different weather types and relate them into the world around you. The scientific words and phrases are explained in detail (what is barometric pressure?), your curious questions are answered (why do we have seasons?), and the roots of weather myths, proverbs, and sayings are revealed (“early thunder, early spring”). Discover how weather forecasts are made, and what constitutes a weather emergency Find out what causes change in weather, such as how air pressure drives winds Learn how climate change is affecting today’s weather Discover how light plays tricks on our eyes to create effects like rainbows, sun dogs, and halos Have fun with at-home weather experiments, including setting up your own weather station Perfect for any weather amateur, you can have your head in the clouds while your feet are on the ground. Next time you’re outside, take Weather For Dummies along with you, look at the sky, and discover something new about the environment you live in.

#9 The Metaphysics of Historical Jesus Research

The Metaphysics of Historical Jesus Research Book Jonathan Rowlands
  • Author : Jonathan Rowlands
  • Publisher : Taylor & Francis
  • Release Date : 2022-11-04
  • Total Pages : 243
  • Genre : History
  • Review : (345)

Download #9 The Metaphysics of Historical Jesus Research eBook Pdf ePub and Kindle

In this book Rowlands interrogates the theological and philosophical foundations of the 'Quest' for the historical Jesus, from Reimarus to the present day, culminating in a call for greater metaphysical transparency and diversity in the discipline. This multidisciplinary approach to historical Jesus research, drawing on historiography, sociology, philosophy, and theology, makes a significant and original contribution to the field. Part I outlines the implicit role of metaphysical presuppositions in historical methodology by examining the concept of an historiographical worldview. Part II provides an overview of the 'Quest' for the historical Jesus, demonstrating that the disparate historiographical worldviews operative in the 'Quest' evidence a particular shared characteristic, in that they might accurately be described as ‘secular.’ Rowlands’ study concludes with a call for a greater plurality and openness regarding the philosophical and theological presuppositions at work in historical Jesus research. The Metaphysics of Historical Jesus Research is of interest to students and scholars working on New Testament studies and historical Jesus research.